The Tampa Bay Lightning (45-26-8, fourth in the Eastern Conference) take on an opponent at the opposite end of the standings, the Buffalo Sabres (35-37-7, 14th in the Eastern Conference), on Sunday, April 13 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which squad we predict will bring home the victory in Sunday's action on the ice.
In the past 10 contests, the Sabres have gone 7-2-1. They have totaled 42 goals, while their opponents have scored 29. They have gone on the power play 24 times during that span, and have capitalized with six goals (25.0% of opportunities).
Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Lightning 5, Sabres 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-253)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have gone 6-8-14 in overtime matchups as part of an overall record of 45-26-8.
- In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-5 record (good for 21 points).
- In the nine games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 14 games this season (2-9-3 record, seven points).
- The Lightning are 43-7-4 in the 54 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 90 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 41 points after finishing 20-8-1.
- In the 39 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-16-0 (46 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 36 games, going 21-7-8 to register 50 points.
Sabres Splits and Trends
- The Sabres have a 7-7-14 record in overtime games this season and a 35-37-7 overall record.
- In the 24 games Buffalo has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 27 points.
- This season the Sabres scored only one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
- Buffalo has earned six points (2-15-2 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
- The Sabres have scored more than two goals in 48 games, earning 69 points from those contests.
- Buffalo has scored a lone power-play goal in 30 games this season and has registered 25 points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Buffalo is 14-14-2 (30 points).
- The Sabres have been outshot by opponents 48 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Sabres AVG | Sabres Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.54 | Goals Scored | 3.24 | 8th |
| 4th | 2.62 | Goals Allowed | 3.44 | 28th |
| 12th | 28.5 | Shots | 27.7 | 20th |
| 14th | 28.3 | Shots Allowed | 28.9 | 22nd |
| 5th | 26.13% | Power Play % | 18.75% | 23rd |
| 8th | 81.41% | Penalty Kill % | 76.6% | 23rd |
Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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